Market Summary

The previous day, there was a pullback followed by a buyback, and the overall situation was calm.

The market continues to trade in the high range, and although there is limited direction, there is also awareness of support.

The situation based on interest rate differentials will remain, and the focus today will be on the imbalance in flows due to weekend factors.

Today, attention will be focused on how much the trend from the previous day will continue, and it is a situation where we need to pay attention to small changes in price movements.

Expected range

The downside is expected to be around the lower end of the high range, with a focus on levels where a pullback is likely to occur.

On the upside, we are keeping in mind that there is room for growth up to the most recent high.

During the day, prices are expected to move within a limited range as we await new information.

tactics

In general, the basic approach is to buy on dips, but prioritize entering at a reasonable level.

The company plans to assess reactions at the upper and lower limits of the cross-holding range and avoid excessive following.

If the momentum is slow, stick to small movements and refrain from trying to take advantage of price fluctuations.

trigger

On the upside, there is a focus on a breakout above the most recent high.

On the downside, a clear break of the support level is likely to be a sign of an expansion of the adjustment.

A sudden change in flow due to US indicators or weekend factors could trigger a change in short-term direction.

Nullification Conditions

If the price continues to fall below the lower limit of cross-shareholding and the high price range is no longer maintained.

When the buying momentum slows and a downward trend in prices becomes established.

If the recovery becomes noticeably slow after the event and the market sentiment for trying to move higher recedes.

Risk Event

Changes in interest rate trends following the release of US indicators.

Short-term flow bias due to statements by important people.

Sudden supply and demand fluctuations due to weekend rebalancing.

Position Management

The size is smaller than usual to ensure room for adjustment in case of sudden changes.

Do not force profit taking, but do so gradually, using the upper end of the cross-holding range as a guide.

Stop losses are mechanically executed when the price exceeds the level at which the formation of a pullback is negated.

Checklist

Is there a flow imbalance due to weekend rebalancing?

US interest rate trends and the impact of index results

Changes in reaction at the upper and lower limits of the cross-holding zone

Market Summary

With the announcement of economic sentiment and prices in the eurozone coming up, the market remained vulnerable to changes in the market the previous day.

Opinions on US monetary policy were also unclear, and the market fluctuated without any clear direction.

There is almost no substance left on the daily chart, and today is also a market condition where short-term fluctuations are likely to occur in indicators and flows.

Expected range

The lower limit is around 1.15

The upper limit is around 1.16.

Although it can fluctuate depending on the material, the basic rule is to keep this range in mind.

tactics

While focusing on rotating the oven, we respond carefully when ingredients tend to lean to one side.

Avoid chasing either up or down, and wait for a clear reaction of pullback or rebound.

Narrow your positions during times when short-term fluctuations are strong

trigger

If the Eurozone PMI results change the market's assessment of the economic outlook

If the first flow in the early European time slot is biased to one side

If short-term interest rates fluctuate more in response to US indicators or statements by important figures

Nullification Conditions

If the daily chart moves towards breaking 1.15 with substantial momentum

If the price clearly breaks above the 1.16 level and a pullback is confirmed

When consecutive bars with volume appear on either the upside or downside

Risk Event

Eurozone PMI Flash Report

Eurozone price-related indicators

Statements by U.S. officials and fluctuations in short-term interest rates

Position Management

Since it is intended for use in a microwave, adjust the size accordingly.

Take profits at a short-term level, and close early if there are signs of a reversal.

Set a small stop loss outside the expected range.

Checklist

Eurozone PMI flash data confirms direction

Is the initial flow biased during European hours?

Are fluctuations in US interest rates spilling over into the euro?

Market Summary

The previous day, expectations of tightening eased following US indicators, and buying of the pound became dominant.

Today, UK consumption-related data and US economic sentiment indicators are due to be released, and the market is prone to swaying depending on the factors.

It is important to note that liquidity tends to be uneven depending on the time of day, due to the impact of weekend rebalancing.

The focus today will be on how long the recent gains can be maintained.

Expected range

The lower limit is expected to be broad, with the level at which the previous day's pushback is felt as a guide.

We expect the upside to be determined around the most recent high point of the rebound as a possible upper limit.

For the time being, it is likely that the market will continue to fluctuate between London and New York time.

tactics

Today, we recommend focusing on range rotation and avoiding extreme following either up or down.

If there is a bias in the momentum in the early stages of London, we will be wary of temporary increases and will wait to see where the momentum settles down.

During New York time, we adjust priorities when the price range widens, assuming fluctuations due to US indicators.

trigger

On the upside, we will be focusing on the momentum seen when the price initially broke above the previous day's high during London time.

On the downside, European indicators are weak, and we can see that the trend is likely to change if the price breaks below the previous day's support level.

Surprises in US indicators are likely to influence short-term direction, so the reaction during New York time is important.

Nullification Conditions

If a downward push occurs early on that completely offsets the previous day's rise, expectations are likely to be disrupted.

When we see price movements that continue to extend in one direction, we reconsider our assumptions about range rotation.

If a bias in the opposite direction occurs in London and New York, it is necessary to decide to switch to a wait-and-see approach.

Risk Event

UK consumption data.

US PMI and US Business Sentiment Index.

Flow bias due to weekend rebalancing.

Position Management

Lots will be smaller than usual to prepare for sudden fluctuations before and after material announcements.

When taking profits, prioritize shorter price ranges and make sure to take them when the trend stops.

Stop losses are set based on the upper and lower milestones, and the range is fixed in advance before entry.

Checklist

Is there a bias in the flow before and after the UK index and the US index?

Are the initial movements in London and New York consistent in direction?

Is the decline in liquidity due to weekend factors becoming too severe?

Market Summary

Market sentiment remains vulnerable to external factors, with investors focusing on Australian economic indicators and US interest rate trends.

The previous day, selling prevailed during New York time, and the stock price continued to hit new lows.

Today, too, reactions to indicators and related comments will likely influence price movements, and there is a possibility that adjustments due to weekend factors will also occur.

Expected range

On the downside, we expect the price to be around the most recent low range.

Keep in mind that the upper part is the zone or its vicinity where a return is likely to be noticed.

Since it is prone to fluctuating up and down depending on the material, pay attention to changes in the range width.

tactics

Today we will focus on range rotation as a basic principle, while taking a flexible stance to prepare for changes in direction.

When the price is falling, check for support, and when the price is rising, carefully search for candidates for selling on a rebound.

Avoid unreasonable following and limit trading volume when the trend is unstable.

trigger

On the upside, there is a focus on breaking above the level that has been holding back the rebound.

The downward direction will depend on whether the price falls below the previous day's low.

Short-term fluctuations are likely to occur before and after the announcement of indicators, so check the strength of the reaction.

Nullification Conditions

If the price clearly breaks through either the upper or lower threshold and the balance of the range is disrupted, review your tactics.

A situation in which large fluctuations occur in a short period of time, and support and resistance levels no longer function.

When indicator results or statements significantly reset market sentiment.

Risk Event

Australian economic sentiment indicators and employment-related data.

US inflation-related indicators and interest rate trends.

Flow associated with weekend position adjustments.

Position Management

The standard size is slightly smaller than normal to prepare for sudden fluctuations.

Take profits frequently just before the upper and lower limits of the range.

Stop losses should be executed when the price has clearly broken through a certain milestone, and should not be allowed to drag on for too long.

Checklist

Initial action on materials and subsequent adhesion

Whether or not there is an adjustment flow due to weekend factors

Signs of bias in buying and selling around turning points or sudden fluctuations